Expect Equity LLC

Other Low signal CIK 2007407
League rank
#79
in Other · #506 overall
Long book
$104.2M
Q1 2026
Positions
48
Top-10 weight
34%
concentration
Last quarter
+21.1%
SPY +14.8%
Turnover
21%
of book per quarter

Strategy in plain words

auto-generated from filings

Expect Equity LLC is an institutional manager, running a $104.2M US long book across 48 positions.

The portfolio is moderately concentrated (top 10 ≈ 34% of the book). Turnover is modest: positions are typically held for years. Current anchor positions: MKS INC, COLUMBIA BANKING SYSTEM INC, FIRST HORIZON CORP, ATI INC, CACI INTERNATIONAL INC -CL A.

Over the last 6 quarters its long book ran on average 1.8pp per quarter ahead of the S&P 500, beating the index in 4 of 6 quarters. Signal value of individual moves is limited — treat changes as weak evidence.

Implied long-book return vs S&P 500

methodology: positions priced quarterly, no shorts/options
Fund long book S&P 500
Q4 2024
-8.1%
Q1 2025
+10.1%
Q2 2025
+8.9%
Q3 2025
+4.9%
Q4 2025
+1.6%
Q1 2026
+21.1%

Sector allocation

Industrials
32%
Healthcare
16%
Technology
15%
Financials
10%
Consumer staples
7%
Services media
5%
Materials
4%
Consumer discretionary
4%

Long book by quarter

$95.5M
Q4 2024
$88.9M
Q1 2025
$93.7M
Q2 2025
$102.4M
Q3 2025
$103.5M
Q4 2025
$104.2M
Q1 2026

What does Expect Equity own?

Q1 2026 13F
CompanySectorSharesValue% of bookChange
MKSI MKS INCTechnology18.5K$4.2M4.1%-23.0%
COLB COLUMBIA BANKING SYSTEM INCFinancials143.1K$3.9M3.8%Held
FHN FIRST HORIZON CORPFinancials170.9K$3.9M3.7%Held
ATI ATI INCIndustrials25.9K$3.8M3.6%-8.7%
CACI CACI INTERNATIONAL INC -CL ATechnology6.7K$3.7M3.5%+12.9%
FLS FLOWSERVE CORPIndustrials48.1K$3.5M3.4%-7.4%
OSK OSHKOSH CORPIndustrials23.2K$3.4M3.3%-7.3%
SM SM ENERGY COEnergy95.8K$3.0M2.9%New
CON CONCENTRA GROUP HOLDINGS PARHealthcare136.2K$2.9M2.8%+14.6%
MOD MODINE MANUFACTURING COIndustrials13.2K$2.9M2.7%-15.3%
LYTS LSI INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials143.6K$2.7M2.6%Held
MAMA MAMA'S CREATIONS INCConsumer staples173.8K$2.7M2.6%-9.0%
ROCK GIBRALTAR INDUSTRIES INCIndustrials63.5K$2.5M2.4%+23.2%
SARO STANDARDAERO INCIndustrials97.5K$2.5M2.4%+19.7%
VSEC VSE CORPServices media13.6K$2.5M2.4%-18.0%
COO COOPER COS INC/THEHealthcare34.6K$2.5M2.4%Held
EWBC EAST WEST BANCORP INCFinancials23.0K$2.5M2.4%+34.3%
LMB LIMBACH HOLDINGS INCIndustrials31.3K$2.4M2.3%+9.9%
LNTH LANTHEUS HOLDINGS INCMaterials32.1K$2.4M2.3%+8.0%
CMC COMMERCIAL METALS COIndustrials39.5K$2.4M2.3%Held
CNM CORE & MAIN INC-CLASS AConsumer discretionary46.9K$2.3M2.2%Held
CECO CECO ENVIRONMENTAL CORPIndustrials38.5K$2.3M2.2%-19.7%
BELFB BEL FUSE INC-CL BTechnology11.1K$2.2M2.1%-40.3%
AVY AVERY DENNISON CORPOther12.7K$2.2M2.1%+42.5%
HAE HAEMONETICS CORP/MASSHealthcare37.0K$2.1M2.0%+18.0%
OPCH OPTION CARE HEALTH INCHealthcare76.7K$2.1M2.0%+8.2%
SN SHARKNINJA INCIndustrials19.2K$2.0M1.9%+39.7%
BRKR BRUKER CORPHealthcare56.1K$2.0M1.9%Held
TTMI TTM TECHNOLOGIESTechnology19.6K$1.9M1.8%Held
VMD VIEMED HEALTHCARE INCHealthcare203.7K$1.9M1.8%+17.1%
LW LAMB WESTON HOLDINGS INCConsumer staples42.9K$1.8M1.7%Held
CHEF CHEFS' WAREHOUSE INC/THEConsumer discretionary25.8K$1.5M1.5%+8.4%
RDNT RADNET INCHealthcare26.6K$1.5M1.4%+45.3%
ACNT ASCENT INDUSTRIES COMaterials110.3K$1.5M1.4%+6.5%
NOMD NOMAD FOODS LTDConsumer staples141.6K$1.4M1.3%Held
ITRI ITRON INCTechnology15.0K$1.3M1.3%New
GVA GRANITE CONSTRUCTION INCIndustrials11.0K$1.3M1.3%+3.8%
SYNA SYNAPTICS INCTechnology18.8K$1.3M1.3%+8.1%
HQY HEALTHEQUITY INCServices media15.5K$1.3M1.2%New
BIRK BIRKENSTOCK HOLDING PLCOther33.9K$1.2M1.2%New
BV BRIGHTVIEW HOLDINGS INCConsumer staples100.5K$1.2M1.1%Held
EPAC ENERPAC TOOL GROUP CORPIndustrials29.4K$1.1M1.0%Held
VYX NCR VOYIX CORPTechnology165.5K$1.0M1.0%Held
LAKE LAKELAND INDUSTRIES INCHealthcare106.7K$874K0.8%-35.7%
TIC TIC SOLUTIONS INCServices media131.9K$868K0.8%+44.9%
INFU INFUSYSTEM HOLDINGS INCHealthcare80.9K$747K0.7%New
TTI TETRA TECHNOLOGIES INCEnergy16.3K$138K0.1%New

13F filing history

PeriodFormFiledEntriesReported valueFlagsSource
Q1 202613F-HRMay 15, 202648$104.2M canonicalSEC ↗
Q4 202513F-HRFeb 17, 202647$103.5M canonicalSEC ↗
Q3 202513F-HRNov 14, 202549$102.4M canonicalSEC ↗
Q2 202513F-HRAug 14, 202547$93.7M canonicalSEC ↗
Q1 202513F-HRMay 15, 202547$88.9M canonicalSEC ↗
Q4 202413F-HRFeb 14, 202545$95.5M canonicalSEC ↗